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Why the West is in Perpetual Crisis

flag of america

Western nations are predominantly nations that are part of the European Union, North America, and other nations linked to liberal democracies and Western European cultures, particularly what constitutes Europe politically and culturally is much larger than Europe itself.

West has been moving in perpetual crisis since the 2008 financial crash due to political leadership and even the general public not being willing to use power in the geopolitical sense due to four main reasons:

· The legacy of colonialism

· Unfounded belief that the West is evil in the United States is an evil empire and finally

· Society and political leaders not accepting the true nature of international politics and geopolitics

· Europe has been in a state of war since the fall of the Western Rome Empire in 476AD

According to Konstantin Kisin, a British and Russian author, writer, and podcaster, it is the application and use of power to serve your citizens.

The United States, the world’s greatest superpower, consumes five times as many resources as any other nation and people on this planet.

This success is caused by the protection and economic security created by the United States post-World War II world order, which has led to prosperity throughout the West until today.

French Empire in Africa: Why the West is in Perpetual Crisis

The Legacy of Colonialism

European nations from the late 15th century until the collapse of the old colonial powers, Spain and Portugal, in the early 19th century and the withdrawal of French and British from their old colonial territories in the mid-20th century.

The British Empire officially disbanded with the handover of Hong Kong to the People’s Republic of China in 1997, marking the end of Britain as an empire.

With the European nation’s colonial legacy, there is a robust, ingrained reluctance to interfere in African countries outright to interfere in other nations’ politics, the very least directly.

However, it must be stated the political situation is more complicated. For instance, the French have held a quasi-empire in northern Africa due to influencing government with them using the currency African franc, the French language as a common language and the recent coup d’états in Niger in 2023, marking the end of French influence in that region.

The French, British, German and others are reluctant to handle the European migrant crisis, which has been an ongoing crisis since 2013 due to the Arab Spring from 2010 to 2019, and this year, a net inflow of migrants is at least 1,200,000 people.

There is a misplaced view within European leadership, particularly in Germany, which is responsible for two world wars and the deaths of nearly a hundred million people, including 6 million Jews in the Holocaust, that they need to atone for their sins, and this is why Germany opened its borders to migrants.

Under the leadership of former German Chancellor Angela Merkel, in 2015, the nation had 1 million migrants, and as of 2022, that figure is now 2.7 million, though this data may not be accurate.

America War of Independence: Why the West is in Perpetual Crisis

The Evil Empire

There is a view pushed by the enemies of democracy, freedom, and the American world system created after the Second World War that the United States is a force for evil in this world.

Furthermore, this viewpoint is being driven by the world becoming geopolitically multipolar.

What this means in politics and international relations terms is that the world is now becoming home to more than one superpower. In practical terms, it is more likely to be regional powers, with each region having one or more great powers dominating the politics within their areas.

This is driven by two factors: the industrialisation and prosperity that the United States created, which enabled nations who did not have access to resources to have the security of global oceans, which enabled free trade and for countries to begin industrialisation and specialisation.

Two great examples of specialisation are the Republic of Taiwan, which creates 90% of global semiconductor chips and the British, which is still the global leader in financial services.

What globalisation did was turn the world into one giant marketplace for goods and services, as well as affordable, which is why poor villages in Africa or People living in the Gaza Strip living in poverty have access to smartphones.

Nations don’t just fight wars with guns and rockets; they fight with war using culture, pushing forward their narrative, rightly or wrongly, that they should influence their regions, such as the Russians, Chinese, Iranians and India, to a lesser extent wanting to be out of the influence of the American system.

What these nations want is to be free of American influence, be free of Western influence and pursue geopolitical policies which they believe rightly or wrongly will be better off without being influenced by the United States of America.

Four people reading this who are curious about what an international world would look like if the United States dismantled its navy and permanently withdrew from geopolitics would see a world reminiscent of the 19th century.

For Europe, due to its declining geographical region, the dominant powers would be the French and English.

In the Far East, it would be China, India and Japan, though to a lesser extent for that nation due to its demographic decline and having more adults in diapers than newborn babies.

As for Africa, my money would be on Nigeria and South Africa. As for North America, that would still be the United States, a continental nation like India and China, and they will most likely have a powerful position in the world.

The Middle East would have to be Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Israel to a lesser extent because Turkey and Israel are most likely to make arrangements to carve up their interests in the region. However, Turkey and Greece may go to war over influence in the Aegean Sea.

Justin Trudeau: Why the West is in Perpetual Crisis

Western Liberalism

In 2017, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau declared Canada the first postnational state; this means he does not see a landmass that any people living there have a claim to that land or that national identity is a genuine belief.

What we consider nationhood was created in the aftermath of the French Revolution of 1789 because the People in France who identified as French were mainly the intelligentsia and people living in cities, so around just 20% of the population.

Therefore, to create unity in the new French Republic and later under the first French Empire was to create a nation-state with one particular ethnic group or people’s belief in similar ideologies, speaking the same languages and believing their nation and its history special.

Nation-states were created and became the predominant method of ruling a land mass area dominated by one or similar ethnic groups due to this being the most straightforward method to govern nations.

With empires typically made of multiple ethnic groups, one ethnic group ruling a nation-state is far easier to manage.

The reason this attitude of not identifying with a nation’s history is making the West have a perpetual crisis is that if you do not believe in your nation, believe in its own right to exist, or believe in its identity, then no political leader or even its people will fight to protect it.

Using the analogy used by the historians David Starkey and Edward Gibbon, the Roman Empire did not fall to armies or farming, but due to its people no longer caring if it existed or if it was destroyed, it did not fall in a cataclysm instead died in a whimper because the Roman people no longer cared.

Suppose the Western people no longer care about their cultural legacy and are unwilling to share their national story with its history and culture. In that case, that too will fall into perpetual crisis, just like what happened to the Roman Empire.

Rome Empire Map: Why the West is in Perpetual Crisis

The End of the Roman Empire

Watson Roman Empire finally collapsed in 476 A.D. From then until 1945, Europe was in a state of perpetual wars either internally or externally with its neighbours with kingdoms fighting for dominance, which lasted 1469 years or just short of 1 ½ millennium.

These wars and people reading this who are of European descent either by culture or by genetics, our grandfathers or even parents lived through two world wars in the 20th century, and they are the descendants of multiple wars stretching back to the fall of the Roman Empire.

This legacy of violence and destruction has traumatised Western European and Western psyches both emotionally and politically, with nations that are part of the West no longer interested in engaging in international politics and geopolitics the way they used before 1945.

The reason why this is leading the West into perpetual crisis is that, collectively, in our national memories, we have had enough of war and violence and are no longer willing to make decisions for our security that have instead outsourced to the United States of America that doesn’t have over millennia worth of trauma to deal with.

However, it must be highlighted that the United States has had enough of foreign wars and conflicts with American presidents since 1992, with the election of Bill Clinton having become increasingly isolationist and reactive, not proactive to a perpetual crisis.

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The End of Germany as We Know It

neuschwanstein castle

Germany faces three major problems, with two currently out of Germany’s control.

No matter what happens, we will be witnessing the end of Germany as we know it over the next three decades and the end of the German ethnicity and culture within our lifetime.

Either way, Germany grew as a culture and nation, and we know today won’t be here by the end of the century.

The three issues that will cause the end of Germany are its declining demographics, which have been declining for over a hundred years; Germany has been over-reliant on natural resources from the Russian Federation and sending its manufacturing to China.

The final issue affecting Germany is its energy policy; with Germany having had multiple coalition governments with the Green Party of Germany, it has closed down other avenues for energy generation in favour of green energy.

At best, green energy, which is nuclear, solar, wind and other natural sources, only makes up 10% of Germany’s energy consumption.

This doesn’t make green energy bad, but only solar energy works where it’s sunny and wind where it’s windy. If you’ve ever been to Germany, it is not a very sunny place, so solar energy is not viable to replace traditional fossil fuels.

The problem with many European nations and other Western nations is the ideological gap between what works, what the voters want and reality. In this century, the nations that will prosper the most will be those plugged into reality.

The End of Germany as We Know It

Choices Germany Made

The reason Germany is staring down the barrel of a gun and seeing the destruction of its ethnic group within this century is due to choices made by the German government, German manufacturing and the choices of the German people not to reproduce.

These historical and demographic trends have affected Germany for over a century and since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. During the Cold War, Germany chose to maintain positive relations with the Soviet Union and eastern Germany.

The positive outcome of this experience was that Germany was reunited in 1990. From this experience, Germany hoped that the Russians and Chinese would transform from a totalitarian regime committing mass murder and genocide governments.

However, the Germans have chosen its two main trading partners, Russia and China, and cut ties with the United States even though the Americans are not the evil Empire.

With the war in Ukraine since February 2022, trade relations between the Russian Federation and Communist China collapsed immediately after trade sanctions started in Russia; the Germans opted to move predominantly to China as a trading partner.

Unfortunately, the Germans are finding out you cannot guarantee support and cooperation from dictatorships and totalitarian regimes, and now they have to pay for the consequences.

partenkirchen old town and mountains
Photo of Germany

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Deglobalisation: The US Withdrawal as Global Protector

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The driving force behind deglobalisation is the decrease in the size of United States destroyers in terms of the available numbers to patrol global shipping lanes and protect international shipping not just for the United States and its allies but also for non-aligned nations, including Russia and China.

As of writing, the United States has 150 destroyers and 11 supercarriers, insufficient to protect the global oceans. Its leading American allies, such as the Japanese, began a rearmament programme to protect their national interests.

As globalisation breaks down because the USA is no longer interested in maintaining a globalised international economy, the US allies will begin rearming themselves and pursuing a more independent foreign policy strategy.

The United States does not need globalisation even though it will lead to higher living costs and inflation as it brings its industries and manufacturing back to America.

Furthermore, the United States is a continental economy, meaning unlike smaller nations that have fewer resources, the United States doesn’t need globalisation.

Deglobalisation and Globalisation: Yalter Conference

Why America Created Globalisation

Unlike the British Empire during the age of the Pax Britannica from 1815 to 1914, the British pursued a free trade policy and the development of the first version of globalisation to enrich the English economy and expand its influence globally.

The British needed its empire to become wealthy by trading in foreign markets within the imperial system that the British and other imperial powers created in the 18th, 19th, and early 20th centuries.

Furthermore, Britain is an island nation much smaller than its neighbouring European rivals and tiny compared to the United States. For the British to be a relevant power and successful, it relied on international trade and shipping.

The United States never needed globalisation and only created globalisation as we know it; the end of World War II in 1945 was to buy an alliance and win the Cold War against the Soviet Union, which lasted from 1945 to 1989 and the final collapse of the Soviet system in 1990.

With the end of the Cold War, the United States’ incentive to maintain globalisation is fading, and the growing disinterest of the United States since 1992 is leading to a deglobalisation of the international world order.

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Why Japan is Rearming

photo of a snowcapped mountain peak

Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has been in office since 2021, pushing for the rearmament and remilitarisation of the Japanese home islands.

Currently, Japan has no capacity outside of the support of the United States to launch counterstrike’s against China and Korea.

Its missile range is limited to 200 km outside of the Japanese islands; to have the capacity to attack Beijing and Pyongyang, Japan will need a capacity of 16,000 km.

The Japanese have allowed their military capabilities to dwindle for two main reasons: Japan’s pacifist constitution was enforced at the end of World War II in 1945 and implemented in 1947.

Part of this constitution was the Japanese would not launch offensive operations and would only fight wars in self-defence.

Why Japan is Rearming

The Japanese government is now changing this policy, stating that Japan will only launch a first strike if its sovereign independence is at stake.

They are further stressing that the only reason it would launch a pre-emptive strike is if they had reliable military intelligence that they are facing an immediate attack from a hostile nation.

The second reason the Japanese demilitarised after World War II was the United States being a guarantee of global shipping lanes and its allies willingly or unwillingly in the case of Japan giving over its foreign policy to the United States in return for protection.

It has been over 78 years since the end of World War II, and the United States was able to maintain this monopoly and control over its ally’s foreign policy because the United States created the international system and globalisation which enabled all nations to have access to resources outside of the home nations territory.

One of the key reasons why the Japanese started their imperialism project and took swathes of territory in the Pacific and on the Eurasian continent was the lack of natural resources inside the Japanese home islands.

So, in an imperialist and the survival of the fittest international environment, the Japanese chose to survive and prosper by taking lands and resources from others.

The Americans changed this by protecting global trade and enforcing global peace amongst their allies.

Since the election of Bill Clinton in 1992, the Japanese have seen the Americans consistently vote into office individuals who are increasingly isolationist and disinterested in global affairs.

With America drawing this disenfranchisement in the American project of globalisation and internationalism that is causing American allies to start implementing their own foreign policy based upon their national interest, nations like Japan need to rearm.

In some respects, the American withdrawal from the world and being overstretched with the conflict in Ukraine and the possibility of a war in Taiwan in the next five years can be likened to the Roman Empire when it was heading towards its decline, having to defend far-flung provinces and overstretched militarily and financially.

Currently, the USA only has 150 destroyers and 11 supercarriers, which is not enough ships to protect global shipping lanes, which will see, according to the geopolitical analysis Peter Zilhan, more disorder happening in the increasingly deglobalised world.

Why Japan is Rearming

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The Art of Proxy Warfare

destroyed residential building under gray sky

Proxy warfare usually involves two or more powers or neighbouring nations engaged in a long, protracted conflict where both parties primarily use lesser powers to wage conflicts without directly using their full military and economic resources to engage in an all-out brawl.

The reason why nations engage in proxy warfare is that total war, particularly with the advent of atomic weaponry in 1945 and the destructiveness of modern war, makes direct great power engagement increasingly unlikely due to the share costs of open warfare.

(According to the Encyclopaedia Britannica, total war is a military conflict in which the contenders are willing to sacrifice lives and other resources to obtain a complete victory, as distinguished from limited war.

Throughout history, limitations on the scope of warfare have been more economic and social than political.)

This is why contemporary nations and throughout human history have engaged in proxy warfare to pursue their national interest as long as there have been kingdoms or nations.

There are many contemporary examples today, with the French supporting their interests in Libya, Syria and Niger going against other Allied powers such as Turkey and Great Britain pursuing separate foreign policies in Syria and North Africa.

Turkey, for example, has seized parts of northern Syrian land and is in a low-level conflict with Russia over influence in Syria and a disagreement with other NATO powers regarding their support of Kurdish separatists in Syria.

Proxy warfare is not always between enemy nations. Still, it can be a great way for governments to pursue their regional and international foreign policies without severely damaging the other allies and interests around the globe.

Proxy Warfare: Cold War 1945 to 1989

Proxy Warfare Before 1900

The art of proxy warfare works best when draining the resources and the ability of a nation’s enemy to fight and engage in other conflicts and pursue its foreign policy around the globe by draining its Treasury and manpower.

Early examples of this strategy can be seen during the Hundred Years War between the Kingdom of England and the Kingdom of France from 1337 to 1453. During that long conflict, both kingdoms engaged in proxy war conflicts.

These proxy wars were fought in Brittany for the Brittany succession was a conflict between the Counts of Blois and the Montforts of Brittany for control of the Sovereign Duchy of Brittany, then a fief of the Kingdom of France.

It was fought between 1341 and 12 April 1365.

The war over the control of the kingdom of Castile from 1366 60 1367, and finally, the conflict between the Almanacs and Burgundians during the last phase of the Hundred Years’ War.

During these proxy wars, England normally drew the short straw. England at this time had a population between 3 million people and 5.5 million compared to the kingdom of France, which had a population between 14 and 25 million people. The French successfully used proxy warfare as a means to drain the finances of the King of England and remove their ability to wage war was successfully used multiple times.

After Edward, the Black Prince defeated King John II of France, who ruled from 1350 to 1364, in the battle Poitier 1356, successfully led to the capture of the King of France, and his youngest son, Philip, became the first of House Valois Burgundy.

This victory led England and the Plantagenet dynasty to assume control over the dukedom of Aquitaine and most of southern France for at least a decade. English successes were reversed by Charles V of France, who ruled from 1364 to 1380 and aptly called the wise.

His strategy for defeating the English was having them engage in a conflict over the control of the kingdom of Castile.

The English won the war, but his half-brother later murdered King Pedro the Cruel of Castile, and the English did not recover financially, with the Treasury of the Princeton of Aquitaine going bankrupt.

It is this success in the kingdom of Castile that led to the reversal of England’s fortunes, and by the time of Edward III’s death in 1377, the English crown was over £400,000 in debt, and the conflict with France would not resume again until the rain of King Henry V of England from 1413 to 1422.

Proxy Warfare: Hundred Years War

The Wars of the Roses 1455 to 1487

The Cousins War, or the Wars of the Roses, was a great example of a proxy war conflict where foreign powers would intervene in other nation’s internal strife to influence their foreign policies or ensure the enemy is focused on internal concerns.

For the English, the king of France, Charles VII of France, called Victorious, ruled from 1422 to 1461, and his son, Louis XI of the Spider, ruled from 1461 to 1483, backed different candidates for control of the English crown to keep England in a state of civil war.

The French monarchy and great powers engaged in this behaviour to keep the enemy weak and avoid protracted wars. If it hadn’t been for the Wars of the Roses and the madness of King Henry VI of England, then the conflict between England and France would have continued much longer.

The conflict finally ended when the Regency Council Charles VIII of France used Henry Tudor, who was very much a creature of Louis XI, as a means to destabilise the English crown with his success at the Battle of Bosworth Field in 1485 primarily due to the pikemen provided by the French crown.

Proxy Warfare: King James II of England

Wars Between France and England in the 18th Century

From the late 17th century until the early 19th century, England and France became embroiled in a Second Hundred Years War or Third Hundred Years War, depending upon which historians you listen to; this new conflict was sparked with the removal of James II of England from the English throne.

His removal opened during the Glorious Revolution of 1688 to 1689. This marked the return of England as an international power within Europe, and its dreams of global supremacy over the French sparked a series of conflicts and proxy wars between both powers.

During the 18th century, the English became the masters of proxy warfare, with the English political classes and culture at that time being financially against creating a large army, seeing them as a means to attack the liberties of native Englishmen.

Due to this development, the English opted to support France’s foreign enemies with financial subsidies; during Frederick the Great of Prussia’s rule from 1740 to 1786, the English paid for his entire nation’s budget to fund them to fight the French and the European continent.

France spent 45 years out of the Hundred Years of the 18th Century at war, with most of their enemies being financially backed by the British for that time.

Another example of proxy warfare during the 18th century between the English and the French was the American Revolution or the American War of Independence from 1775 to 1883.

This is another excellent example of a nation: France supplied men, equipment, and financial backing to Britain’s enemy, leaving that nation weakened internationally and overstretched while trying to maintain control over the 13 colonies.

This scenario is repeated over and over again throughout human history, with the most recent examples being the Soviet-Afghan war from 1979 to 1989 and the American war on terror from 2001 to 2021.

Proxy Warfare: Korean War 1950 to 1953

Cold War Period

The Cold War lasted for around 44 years, from 1945 to 1989.

Throughout that period, both the United States of America and the Union of Soviet Republics or just Russia as we would understand it in modern terms were engaged in a conflict over which ideology, capitalism or communism, would be the future of humanity.

United States favoured a liberal approach to the economy where individual citizens had the freedom to invest their goods and services, invest in the US economy, and plan their futures.

In contrast, the Soviet Union favoured a state-planned economy where there was no freedom of market forces to dictate the development of new technologies and the worth of goods and services; this is why, in the last two decades of the Cold War, Russia so massively behind the Western world.

As for the conflict between both superpowers began almost straight after the ending of the Second World War in 1945; the first conflict was in Vietnam, with American involvement starting in 1947 until the conclusion of the Vietnam War in 1975.

The impact of this conflict was that it demoralised the American public against supporting the fight against communism and that the United States public began to mistrust his political leaders. The next conflict was much shorter, lasting from 1950 to 1953, called the Korean War.

With the support of the United Nations and the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, the United States successfully liberated South Korea from the communist North.

During this conflict, much like the Vietnam conflict, the Soviet Union supported the Chinese and the North Koreans in their war against the United States by providing them with equipment, and this was repeated during the Vietnam War.

The Cold War’s final great conflict was the Soviet-Afghan war, which was waged between 1979 and 1989. The United States supported the mujahedin (including Osama bin Laden, who planned the 9/11 attacks on the USA in 2001), fighting against the Soviet Union.

The significant impact of the Afghan-Soviet war was that it meant the death of the Soviet Union by 1989. The only form of legitimacy that kept the Soviet Union alive was its reliance on the prestige and capabilities of its military.

Without that legitimacy, their failure to win the war in Afghanistan meant the end of the Soviet Union.

Proxy Warfare: Volodymyr Zelensky

Ukraine Proxy War

Suppose any conflict in the history of humanity deserves to be called a proxy war. In that case, the Ukraine deserves that title and the definition.

However, the Ukrainians fighting their war for independence and emerging as a separate identity from Russia would differ significantly from my statement.

For the Ukrainians, the war they have been fighting for the liberation and independence of Ukraine has been going on since the Russians took the Crimea Peninsula in 2014 to the present day.

This could be likened to the American War of Independence from 1775 to 1783, with the Americans emerging as a separate cultural and political identity from England, the mother country.

For the United States and its Western allies, the Ukraine war prevents the opportunity to give a knockout blow to the Russian Federation and ensure Russia as a military power is contained within current territorial boundaries and becomes irrelevant due to its declining demographics.

Ukraine will be Russia’s last war due to the terminal demographic decline. It will take a century to make the corrections necessary to regrow its population due to the fall in birth rates since the end of the Soviet Union in the 1980s.

As well as the chaos in the 1990s, Russia has had 40 years without a successful replacement generation that was big enough to replace the previous generations within Russia.

Here is how much Aid the USA has sent Ukraine between January 24, 2022, and July 31, 2023. The Aid has primarily been provided through appropriations bills. This information only covers aid to Ukraine and does not include all U.S. spending related to the war.

Total: $76.8 billion


$3.9 billion (5%)

Emergency food assistance, health care, refugee support, and other humanitarian aid


$26.4 billion (34%)

Budgetary aid through the Economic Support Fund, loans, and other financial support

Security assistance

$18.3 billion (24%)

Training, equipment, weapons, logistics support, and other assistance provided through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative

Total military

$46.6 billion (61%)

Weapons and equipment

$23.5 billion (31%)

Weapons and equipment from Defense Department stocks, provided through presidential drawdowns

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China in Crisis

boy and girl in traditional clothes bowing their heads

China is in crisis; according to geopolitical analyst and author Peter Zeihan, this decade will be China’s last decade as an international power, and the entire system of the Chinese Communist Party may also implode with the breakup of China.

It’s not clear precisely what is happening in China, but China is in crisis, with youth unemployment hitting a high in June 2023, with 21.3% of people aged between 16 and 24 unemployed.

The reason is that not enough graduate jobs are being created in the Chinese economy to develop its middle class.

There is a mismatch between Chinese university graduates and the jobs available within the Chinese economy.

The last time there was this imbalance in China was the Tiananmen Square massacre of 1989, with mass protests on the Chinese mainland.

China is also facing a crisis with its population being miscounted by at least 100 million people, and those people are the millennials who have not been born, which has increased the price of labour within China and with retirement and ageing out of the Boomer generation.

Furthermore, in China, the Boomer generation is now hitting mass retirement at 60 unless they change their policy and increase the working age by decree or by law.

This will further harm China’s ability to export manufactured goods at low prices, with the United States moving its suppliers of manufacturing goods from China to Mexico to ensure Americans still have the choice and convenience of cheap manufacturing goods.

The rest of the world has not noticed the growing issues and crisis rowing within China due to distractions within domestic politics with the United States focusing on the Orange Man, a.k.a. Donald Trump, the Japanese rearming, the cover 19 pandemic due to governments looking inwards and not outwards.

China in Crisis and Chinese Baby

What Does This Mean with China in Crisis

The Chinese Communist Party put forward a grand vision of China being a united entity for at least over 2000 years, if not more, going back around four millennia; this is, unfortunately, complete and utter horse shit.

As a united entity, China has spent more years being divided into separate warring kingdoms than it has been a united entity.

China is a monoculture dominated by the Han Chinese, making up 92% of its population, though these figures vary by percentage points.

China is typically disunited, but during different moments in its long and bloody history, a power in the northern plains of China, a.k.a. northern China, is united under new dynasties or regimes that proceeded to go on and conquer the other regions of China.

China is a massive country that requires a centralised government typically run from northern China, with the other regions breaking away at different points in history only to be reintegrated into greater China.

China faces many crises that could see the nation shatter and reintegrate after a Civil War period.

China in Crisis Food and Energy

Food and Energy

China is dependent upon food and energy imports, and this is a reason why China is facing a crisis due to the reliance on supply routes stretching from the Bosporus and the Aegean, through the Persian Gulf and through the Indian and Vietnam, seas which is a vulnerable supply line for China.

All it takes is China’s enemies or state-sponsored privateers to seize these goods, which could devastate the Chinese economy.

If the USA and China went to war today, China would starve to death within six months.

China is dependent upon global supply chains and global security that have historically been maintained by the Pax Britannica from 1815 to 1914 and then from 1945 to the present day by the Pax Americans.

Basically, the Chinese depend on infrastructure and, more importantly, the protection of the seas that was guaranteed historically by the Royal Navy and then the U.S. Navy.

With the United States no longer interested in global affairs and that system is going away, the U.S. Navy focused on constructing supercarriers, which are nation killers and not destroyer-heavy Navy that is essential for protecting global shipping lanes.

As of writing this article, the USA has 72 destroyers and 17 cruisers, which is not enough to keep the seas safe.

China had to get rich and develop a strong international Navy before the Americans pulled out of the global system they had created.

Unfortunately, China is getting old before it can get rich and has not made the transfer from an industrial economy into a consumer economy.

Its domestic population can no longer meet the required domestic consumption that is no longer optional.

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European Sanctions Affecting Russian Gas

low angle view of illuminated tower against sky at night

European sanctions have been levelled against Russia since they seized parts of eastern Ukraine and the Crimea peninsula in 2014.

They have only increased since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Since then, most European nations have worked to reduce their dependency on Russian natural gas.

They have successfully delivered this and put the German economy, the manufacturing heart of Europe, at risk.

Russia has experienced the lows help out of natural gas since 1978 onto the Russian natural gas state monopoly Gazprom.

European Sanctions targeting piped natural gas have effectively cut off European supply, and the existing infrastructure cannot be easily redirected.

While Russia has alternative natural gas sources and facilities, the limited workforce and technical challenges make these options difficult to maintain.

The Russian technical education system that actually manages the manufacturing, energy and complicated engineering system collapsed in the mid-1980s, the same time as Russia’s birthrate.

Simply put, the Russian economic system doesn’t have the technical skills to continue manufacturing, nor does it have the population to retrain this particular set of technical skills and the sheer mass to wage the kind of attrition war in Ukraine.

Gerard Dimond, the author of the book Guns, Steel and Germs, argues that societies with large populations succeed because societies that increase in population size will increase the possibilities of generating outliers like Steve Jobs or Nicholas Tesla.

(Nikola Tesla was a Serbian-American inventor, electrical engineer, mechanical engineer, and futurist best known for his contributions to the design of the modern alternating current electricity supply system.)

(Steven Paul Jobs was an American business magnate, inventor, and investor. He was the co-founder, chairman, and CEO of Apple; Pixar’s chairman and majority shareholder; a member of The Walt Disney Company’s board of directors following its acquisition of Pixar; and the founder, chairman, and CEO of NeXT.)

It is the outliers that push society forward. Without large populations, the chance of having unique individuals driving forward technological advancements means fewer opportunities.

European sanctions are working well, and these efforts may permanently sever ties to Russian natural gas with little impact on their systems. The Russian natural gas industry faces an unprecedented fall from grace, but not all industries have been impacted equally.

European Sanctions Affecting Russian Gas

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Ukraine War: Ukrainian Drones

black smoke coming from fire

According to BBC Journalism, it has been suspected that 190 drone attacks have occurred in the Russian Federation and the Crimea peninsula, with the attack getting as far as Moscow.

On 30 August 2023, widespread Ukrainian drones in the north-west one of the targets was an airbase in the Russian city of Pskov, which Ukraine’s military intelligence chief says was attacked from inside Russia — although he didn’t say by whom.

The dry is destroyed according to satellite images of Pskov Airport after the incident shows one aircraft destroyed.

Ukraine War: Ukrainian Drones

Strategic Win for Ukraine

The Ukrainian military can attack Russia internally with drones, which are ironically supplied drones available to the general public and ironically supplied by the Chinese Communist Party and its civilian manufacturing base.

Vladimir Putin comes under more pressure from the Russian civilian public to be more exposed to the conflict happening in Ukraine, which should have been a short war over quickly, for Russia is now chairman into a long conflict that is damaging national cohesion.

The Russian Federation needs this war to be over quickly to achieve its wider strategic objective by securing invasion routes into Russia and re-establishing its old Cold War borders.

Russia is a multi-ethnic empire; it expands and absorbs territories until it reaches defensible natural geographic barriers. This behaviour is part of the Russian political DNA due to Kyiv’s Mongol conquest and destruction in the 13th century and why Russia is still obsessed with securing territory.

The Ukraine War is just another example of this in practice, and success would mean delaying Russia’s demographic collapse. Russia, since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, has been fighting a total of 12 wars.

However, as dissent bubbles amongst these ethnic groups, what happens if Russia can no longer monitor and put the lid on it immediately? How could it possibly project power outside its borders?

The Russians aren’t the only ones feeling the heat after this drone attack.

When a country like Ukraine can practically walk into a Walmart and get what it needs to launch a large-scale assault, that’s one heck of a conversation starter for the Pentagon.

Once the US amasses a flock of drones, they’ll have another way to attack the Chinese navy should they need to.

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Why the 21st Century Will Be Another American Century

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According to a Pew Research Centre survey conducted in 2022, there has been and continues to be a growing trend among Americans (47% vs. 19%).

Roughly a third of U.S. adults (32%) say their nation’s influence on the global stage has stayed about the same.

The growing trend and belief that the decline of American power is a cultural and economic issue internal to the United States and other Western powers due to deindustrialisation.

The American system of world power is not dying.

The American government either deliberately or unintentionally bought its alliance at the end of World War II (1945) to win the Cold War (1945 to 1989) by sacrificing the working classes inside the United States and in developed Nations in the Global North.

The biggest reason for losing faith in the Western world is that the nature of work is changing from an industrial and brawn economy to an intellectual, design and brainpower economy, leaving people behind.

Since the end of World War II, the world has become more prosperous, and more people have been brought out of extreme poverty.

This brings the discussion of China and Russia being active opponents of the economic global system developed by the United States in the post-World War II period.

These two nations, mainly China, will not be the world’s next superpower in the 21st century; it will be another American century because China became prosperous due to the American system and geographic limitations of Russia and China.

Why the 21st Century Will Be Another American Century
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Winning Allies

How did the Americans win friends and influence people to buy into globalisation led by the United States at the end of World War II? There are three main reasons for American success and why this success still applies to American power in the 21st century.

The United States of America unlike every other nation that had industrialised and had great power status before and after 1945, the USA did not have any significant enemies.

In contrast, the English, French, Germans, Polish, Russian and many others worldwide had historical enemies going back centuries, if not thousands of years. For example, the Vietnamese and the Chinese have been enemies for at least 2000 years.

The British and the French had been at each other’s throats since before the Norman conquest in 1066 to 1815 with Napoleon Bonaparte’s defeat at the Battle of Waterloo.

The United States has only had three enemies historically. The first enemy was the USA’s old colonial masters, the British, which Americans fought a long war from 1775 to 1783 to win their independence, and the Brits also burnt down the White House in the War of 1812.

To the Americans, the British were more of a psychological enemy born out of the trauma of the War of Independence, with the famous Confederate general Robert E. Lee spending the first part of his career building American defences against a possible British invasion.

The next enemy of the United States was the Mexicans, which the Americans thought a brief war between 1845 and 1848 called the Mexican-American War, in which America took half of the Mexican’s lands.

The final and, in some ways, a continuous enemy of the United States and the only nation that realistically threatened the very existence of America was the Russians.

The Americans were fighting a Cold War from 1945 to 1989, with the Russians threatening America with nuclear annihilation.

Why the 21st Century Will Be Another American Century
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American History

With this brief overview of American history and, to a lesser extent, global history, the United States in 1945 had only existed from 1776 with the Declaration of Independence or 1789 with the ratification and implementation of the American Constitution, depending upon your view of the American start date as a nation.

America in 1945 was at most 169 years old.

This meant that with the United States dominating the whole of the northern hemisphere and having no bad blood with nations of Europe and around the globe, the United States was in the perfect position to be a guarantor of global peace and prosperity.

At the end of World War II, the world was in ruins.

The United States is facing another potential World War against the Soviet Union to fight the Russians and to expand the American spirit’s influence.

The USA came up with a novel solution that was truly unique in human history, which was corporations, specialisation, and globalisation to build a global economy.

The Soviet Union and its successor, the Russian Federation, could not and still cannot beat the USA due to the Russian society, particularly its government class, using the outdated view of economics and imperialism to build power and influence.

The global economy was born in 1945, and with it, the American peace in Europe that had not existed since the fall of the Western Roman Empire in 476.

The reason for so many European wars since the 16th century was their view of economics that the only way a nation can become wealthy is by another country losing.

They viewed economics as a zero-sum game of the only winners and losers.

Therefore, their view of economics was that Imperial centres would go out into the world, build their empires, and trade predominantly within the Imperial territories.

This meant no nation traded significantly with others, and no specialisation existed.

Before 1945, if a country had no access to raw materials such as coal and steel, that nation would not industrialise.

What the Americans did by guaranteeing global security of global shipping lanes was that all countries that were part of the American-led security system could industrialise without fear of invasion or the loss of access to materials.

Why the 21st Century Will Be Another American Century
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Globalisation and the Wealth of Nations

Globalisation as we know it comes from specialisation, which Leads to Economies of Scale.

The economies of scale mean that the more time individuals focus on one particular task, the more they become specialised and more effective in performing those tasks.

The Economist and philosopher Adam Smith, the author of The Wealth of Nations, first published in 1776, used the example of the production of a pin.

Smith advocated that each part of the production chain should focus purely on the specialisation.

The miners concentrate on the mining, and the People working on the manufacturing, transportation and other services and skills that go into producing one item focus on that part of the supply chain.

A great example of a modern supply chain is one vehicle comprising 21,000 specialised components from different global supply chains.

If one part is unavailable nationally, that vehicle won’t run.1945, the USA created a global marketplace for its allies and enemies.

For example, the Chinese Communist Party opened its economy after the death of Mao Zedong in 1976, and Deng Xiaoping came to power in 1978.The rise of China was only possible with the creation of globalisation and specialisation.

What the Western economies, including the USA, did was to deindustrialise their economies, focus on design technology and be active in the more value-added sectors of the economy, according to the analyst and writer Peter Zeihan.

Countries like South Korea, Japan and China were able to enter the global economy due to wealthy nations seeing their young populations as cheap labour as a means to produce cheap manufacturing goods around the globe.

The classic example of Japan was that they became rich and then transformed their economies using manufacturing to become consumer-led economies and economies that focus more on the higher value aspect of global supply chains.

Why the 21st Century Will Be Another American Century
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China is Getting Old

Unfortunately for China, they are becoming old before they can get rich.

China, like Japan, faces the same issue: an ageing population due to the improvement of their economies, eugenic policies in China with the one-child policy created in 1980 and social factors that have led to the collapse and growth of the population.

For the Japanese, the issue was partly caused by the 1973 oil crisis in the 1970s, the last time Japan had a stable birthrate of 2.1 due to instability that led to couples deciding not to have children and putting off parenthood.

For the Chinese, the Chinese Communist Party implemented the one-child policy due to fear of overpopulation.

For nations to have a healthy demographic, there needs to be more young than older people in the system. If a country has too many older people at the top of a democratic pyramid, it will collapse.

If that nation has not transitioned to a post-industrial society, there won’t be young people to work the hard manufacturing jobs. China has experienced fantastic household income growth over the last 40 years, mainly from 2001 to 2021.China’s citizens were estimated to hold just 9% of the world’s wealth.

That figure has now more than doubled, while median wealth in the country has skyrocketed from $3,111 to $26,752 between 2000 and 2021.Comparison In Japan, the average household net wealth is estimated at USD 294,735, lower than the OECD average of USD 323,960.

When looking at statistics, China is getting old before it can get rich, which means its economy won’t survive without industrialisation or access to the globalised economy.

Why the 21st Century Will Be Another American Century
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Why the USA will still be Number One

The reasons why the United States of America will emerge as the great power of the 21st century and why this century will be another American was due to the mistakes and geographical limitations of America’s opponents in the form of Communist China, Soviet Russia and its successor Russian Federation.

Against the Chinese, all the Americans have to do is cut off access to American technical skills, which the Biden administration is already doing, and wait for the Chinese to die of old age.

For the Russian Federation, the last time the Russians had a population boom was during the Soviet period before the collapse of the USSR in 1991.

The Russians are geographically limited to Eurasia and are blocked by American allies in the Baltic, Balkans, Black Sea and the Pacific.

Furthermore, the Russians operated on the old view of economics and empire; the nation must have Imperial territories and focus trading just within the Empire.

The Russians are also using the last of its generation, born in the 1990s, to fight the war in Ukraine.

The Chinese have not had children due to the one-child policy, and experiencing seven generations of industrialisation in one generation means they also experienced seven generations of demographic decline within one generation.

Unlike Great Britain, the first nation to industrialise and where the Industrial Revolution started in 1769, the United Kingdom experienced a slow population decline over seven generations.

When societies experience industrialisation, they move away from an agricultural economy with plenty of open space, and children are free labour on the farm.

When people start living in cities, children become an expensive burden in the short term, which naturally means people stop having children or have fewer.

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The New Cold War: Vietnam

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Biden recently announced that he’d be making a trip to Vietnam, which will likely occur in September when he visits other regional powers.

But what makes Vietnam such a valuable asset in the US portfolio of allies?

Is that the United States during what is sometimes called the new Cold War period of human history, which started with the Russian annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the election of Donald Trump in 2016?Saw American foreign policy takes a negative attitude towards China, notably the Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.

The massive shift in American foreign policy from inaction to action against China and Russia is due to the winding down and ending of the American war on terror, predominantly the War in Afghanistan, from 2001 to 2021.

The American withdrawal from Afghanistan has enabled the USA to be flexible and reactive in its foreign policy due to the limitations of the American government dealing with more than one crisis.

This is partly due to the American effort to maintain alliances and support of Russia and Pakistan to maintain supply lines to NATO forces and the USA during its long campaign in the Middle East.

The New Cold War: Vietnam
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Regional Powers

Due to the Vietnamese being a significant regional power and having a better demographic profile than others in the region and good geographical positioning, they make an ideal ally for the USA, and Vietnam has already thought of China in its brief Chinese Vietnam War of 1979.

However, Vietnam does have its problems due to geographic challenges.

The integration process and political unification following the Vietnam War, which lasted from 1955 to 1975, has been an ongoing endeavour.

At the same time, there’s no brushing past the ‘history’ that Vietnam and the US share that pales compared to their history with the Chinese, which is at least 2,000 years of conflict and border skirmishes that lasted from 1979 to 1991.If there’s one thing all the Vietnamese can agree on, they hate China.

But remember that the Vietnamese bring more than just a desire to crush the Chinese.

They would be a solid trade partner with strong demographics, a sound education system, and excellent relations with other regional allies.

Sounds like a damn good deal for the US.

The only sticking point is the Chinese-style political system that still exists in Vietnam, which means the United States of America and the Vietnamese can only be allies of convenience in the long term unless Vietnam social-political reform.