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The French Internal Demographic Blindspot

low angle photography of gray castle

Modern-day France as we can understand it today was founded upon these revolutionary principles Liberté, égalité, fraternité – Liberty, Equality, Fraternity: these words are regarded as the most famous slogan of the French Revolution.

Men and women are born and remain free and equal in rights. Social distinctions may be founded only upon the common good.

The French Revolution originates from the American Wars of Independence or revolutionary wars.

Still, it’s far more accurate to regard the American Revolution as an internal British civil war which saw the British people’s in North America going their own way.

The American Wars of Independence lasted from 1775 to 1783, leading to French Revolution and the French Revolutionary Wars and the Napoleonic Wars from 1793 to 1815, with the French Revolution beginning during the storming of the Bastille in 1789.

Due to the legacy of the revolution and the politics of that period, people such as Norman, Aquitania, Corsicans, Britton and other ethnic groups within France were now legally and constitutionally only allowed to be identified as French.

This legacy has continued through five French republics, the restored Bourbon Monarchy and two empires which means the French government have a massive internal demographic blindspot regarding the French government meeting the needs of new ethnic groups.

Migration to France

In France, demographers classify all persons of foreign nationality born outside France as’ immigrants’. They exclude persons born abroad to French parents, such as the children of expatriates.

In 2018, there were 6.5 million immigrants living in France—9.7% of the total population (of 67 million). 4.1 million were foreign nationals, and 2.4 million, or 37%, had acquired French citizenship.

The composition of the immigrant population in France is changing.

The proportion of immigrants born in Spain or Italy who came to France long ago and are now old continuously falls.

Meanwhile, immigrants born in North Africa, who are younger and came more recently, now make up a considerable share of the immigrant population.

In 2018, 13% of immigrants in France were born in Algeria; 11.9% in Morocco; 9.2% in Portugal; 4.4% in Tunisia; 4.3% in Italy; 3.8% in Turkey; and 3.7% in Spain.

Half of France’s immigrants (50.3%) come from these seven countries. In 2018 52% of immigrants to France were women (provisional figures from advanced population estimates).

The problem with this data for France is that it doesn’t recognise its citizens as not being ethnically and culturally French. This means policies cannot be made to encourage integration and tackle institutional racism.

As Western nations become more ethnically diverse, it is the job of governments to decide whether or not their country can function as a multicultural society due to a significant difference between a humongous United nationality like the Japanese and South Koreans.

Or a divided society along ethnic lines like the old Austrian Hungarian Empire, which collapsed due to ethnic divisions.

When people migrate to new nations, for better or worse, they bring their cultures and political beliefs with them. This can enrich a society where the question must be asked whether they are winners or losers.

It’s incredibly unpopular and even possibly cruel to say some nations and civilisations are losers for various reasons such as geography, lack of political unity and religious divisions.

Again there is a reason why the only two legal systems that exist on this planet originate from two legal traditions: Roman law and the legacy of the Roman Empire. English common law was developed independently of Roman law and is the other major legal tradition.

lighted eiffel tower in paris  Demographic Blindspot
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The Question of Integration and Birth Rates

Many nations in the Global North and the developed and developing world outside of Africa have birth rates like the United Kingdom, with over 50 years below replacement levels.

This meant nations like Britain had to bring immigration to maintain and expand their population.

Capitalism can only function if there are enough people at an adult working age and are far enough along the value-added chain.

The people at the height of their profession are usually aged between their early 40s and mid-50s.

These people invest most of their wages into investing in stock markets, which generates start-up capital and investments for entrepreneurial start-ups and keeps established businesses on the stock market with investing capital.

A stock is basically where an individual buys, for example, a stock in Tesla, which could be £100. In turn, the individual who purchased the stock may receive a dividend, a piece of Tesla’s profits being returned to the original investor.

The other outcome is that when the stock price goes up, the original investor will sell their stock, making a small profit from their initial investment.

Without enough people to invest, enough people to pay for the retirement of the elderly, capitalism and the way society has been constructed since the end of World War II in 1945 will no longer be possible.

The globe cannot rely on Africa and other nations with healthy demographics because supply the world young would run out because there are not enough people to go around, and that immigration does not solve the systemic internal problems of why people don’t have children.

Record numbers of women are reaching the age of 30 child-free, new official figures have shown. More than half (50.1%) of women in England and Wales born in 1990 were without a child when they turned 30 in 2020, the first generation to do so, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

People do not have children due to market shocks or couples never having their first child; for example, the Japanese demographics regarding having children collapsed due to the 1970s oil shock.

The Japanese also did not legalise the use of the contraceptive pill until the 1990s and birth rates continued to fall throughout the 1980s; this shows that it’s not just cultural reasons why people do not have children, but there is a structural problem within the economy.

It is an internal problem that cannot be solved by immigration because within a generation or two, the original immigrants would have died off, in their children would have integrated within the dominant culture of the society they are now living in.

This just compounds the decline of the global population regarding new births because of how societies are run and governments not being child friendly enough.

The population bomb will be imploding, and with it, the way modern societies are governed. We could be seen the return of authoritarianism if democratic leadership does not meet this new challenge the same they met with the challenge of communism and fascism in the 20th century.

baby sitting on green grass beside bear plush toy at daytime  Demographic Blindspot
Photo by Singkham on Pexels.com

Sources for The French Internal Demographic Blindspot

The Guardian Record numbers of women reach 30 child-free in England and Wales link

Ined How many immigrants are there in France? link

Diplomatie Liberty, Equality, Fraternity link

Georgetown University Race: A Never-Ending Taboo in France link

Zeihan on Geopolitics France’s Demographic Blindspot: Racial Inequality || Peter Zeihan link

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